Boston United vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Boston United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southend wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boston United vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boston United
4-3-3- 18L. Wheeldon
- 11Kenneth Aboh
- 9Tom Cursons
- 8G. Holohan
- 30N. Pozo
- 7J. Holmes
- 23J. Grimes
- 28T. Agyemang
- 4C. Teale
- 2S. Sachdev
- 13Louis Chadwick
Southend
4-3-3- 27R. Colclough
- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 13J. Sims
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Southend have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-6 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 3-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Boston United win, 2 draws, 1 Southend win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Boston United 3-3 Southend | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Southend 1-1 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Boston United 3-0 Southend | National League |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Southend 2-0 Boston United | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Southend on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Southend | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 20th in National League (12 points from 12 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (24 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 24 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Boston United vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Boston United.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Southend played?
- Boston United vs Southend is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.