Botafogo vs Fluminense: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Botafogo and Fluminense drew 1-1 on August 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′Alex TellesBotafogo
- 58′IgnacioFluminense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Botafogo win at 39%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Botafogo vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Botafogo
4-2-3-1- 19Arthur Cabral
- 59Kauan Toledo
- 10Álvaro Montoro
- 77L. Villalba
- 8Danilo Santos
- 6C. Medina
- 13Alex Telles
- 5N. Ferraresi
- 34G. Justino
- 2Vitinho
- 17Warleson
Fluminense
4-2-3-1- 19R. Castillo
- 90K. Serna
- 10PH Ganso
- 30Y. Soteldo
- 16Nonato
- 94Otávio
- 6Renê
- 44Jemmes
- 4Ignacio
- 2Samuel Xavier
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fluminense have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Botafogo wins, 0 draws, 3 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Fluminense 1-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Botafogo 0-1 Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fluminense 2-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Botafogo 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Botafogo 2-1 Fluminense | Carioca - 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Botafogo on Feb 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 13th in Serie A (36 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 48 | 36 |
A question about Botafogo vs Fluminense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy