Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 2-1 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′Marcos AntônioSao Paulo
- 48′WallaceGremio
- 86′C. PavónGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sao Paulo have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 18, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy