Gremio vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 8, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Gremio won 2-1 on August 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′Marcos AntônioSao Paulo
- 48′WallaceGremio
- 86′C. PavónGremio
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Gremio win at 41%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Gremio vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 77Jovane Cabral
- 5J. Nardoni
- 20M. Villasanti
- 7C. Pavón
- 19E. Noriega
- 23Marlon
- 82Wallace
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 27Diego Caito
- 1Weverton
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 9J. Calleri
- 11Ferreira
- 10Luciano
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 29Pablo Maia
- 94Danielzinho
- 18Wendell
- 54Osorio Luis
- 5R. Arboleda
- 19Lucas Ramon
- 23Rafael
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sao Paulo have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 4 Sao Paulo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Gremio 2-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| May 18, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 18th in Serie A (31 points from 31 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 9th (42 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 42 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 31 |
A question about Gremio vs Sao Paulo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy