Botafogo vs Gremio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on July 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2026 | Caracas FC(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botafogo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Gremio 5-3 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Botafogo 3-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gremio 1-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Botafogo 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Gremio 1-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Botafogo 3-4 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy