Botafogo vs Gremio: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Botafogo vs Gremio?
Botafogo won 3-2 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 30′Danilo SantosBotafogo
- 36′Jovane CabralGremio
- 52′Álvaro MontoroBotafogo
- 79′Danilo SantosBotafogo
- 88′Gustavo MartinsGremio
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Botafogo win at 56%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Botafogo vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Botafogo
4-2-3-1- 19Arthur Cabral
- 10Álvaro Montoro
- 88Edenílson
- 7Júnior Santos
- 8Danilo Santos
- 75Huguinho
- 13Alex Telles
- 33L. Monzón
- 3Arthur Chaves
- 2Vitinho
- 12Gabriel Batista
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 77Jovane Cabral
- 10F. Krovinović
- 7C. Pavón
- 20M. Villasanti
- 8E. Noriega
- 38Caio Paulista
- 82Wallace
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 27Diego Caito
- 1Weverton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 3-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botafogo wins, 2 draws, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Gremio 5-3 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Botafogo 3-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Gremio 1-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Botafogo 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Gremio 1-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2023 | Botafogo 3-4 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 13th in Serie A (36 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 48 | 36 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Botafogo vs Gremio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy