Sao Paulo vs Santos: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on July 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Santos have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2026 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 23, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | UCV(home) | 4-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | UCV(away) | 4-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Santos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Santos | Paulista - A1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Santos 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Santos 3-1 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Santos | Paulista - A1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 2.0 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Santos | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Santos sit 14th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy