Sao Paulo vs Santos: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Santos?
Santos won 1-2 on October 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 34′LucianoSao Paulo (pen.)
- 36′Gabriel BarbosaSantos
- 54′Gabriel BarbosaSantos
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Sao Paulo win at 47%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Sao Paulo vs Santos
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Sao Paulo
4-3-3- 49Ryan Francisco
- 10Luciano
- 37Artur
- 16D. Bobadilla
- 8Marcos Antônio
- 29Pablo Maia
- 12Iago
- 2R. Tolói
- 5R. Arboleda
- 32Pedro Lima
- 31Carlos Coronel
Santos
4-2-3-1- 9Gabriel Barbosa
- 7Everton
- 45Lima
- 22Á. Barreal
- 6Arthur
- 28C. Oliva
- 31G. Escobar
- 15Willian Arão
- 4Lucas Veríssimo
- 23Rodinei
- 1Diógenes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santos have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Remo(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 2-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sao Paulo wins, 1 draw, 3 Santos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Santos 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Sao Paulo 2-0 Santos | Paulista - A1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Santos 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Santos 3-1 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Santos | Paulista - A1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Santos | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 11th in Serie A (36 points from 29 matches) and Santos sit 8th (41 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 41 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 36 |
A question about Sao Paulo vs Santos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy