Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Vratsa
The Footlab model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Botev Vratsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Botev Vratsa (1,739) and Botev Plovdiv (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Vratsa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Botev Plovdiv have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Botev Vratsa win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Botev Plovdiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 1-3 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Botev Vratsa 1-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Botev Vratsa 1-3 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 2-0 Botev Vratsa | First League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Botev Vratsa 3-5 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
Last archived meeting: Botev Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Botev Plovdiv score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Vratsa sit 14th in First League (1 points from 5 matches) and Botev Plovdiv sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Botev Vratsa.
- Where and when is Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv played?
- Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.