Boulogne vs Rodez: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer
The Footlab AI model makes Rodez the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Boulogne. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rodez wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boulogne vs Rodez?
Rodez starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boulogne vs Rodez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boulogne
3-4-3- 10A. Hbouch
- 12J. Boyer
- 17B. Besic
- 14J. Bultel
- 19N. Binet
- 8J. Martin
- 11N. Fatar
- 18D. Thiam
- 25A. Kerriou
- 15A. Pinot
- 99Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu
Rodez
5-3-2- 7K. Nagera
- 9N. Nsingi
- 6J. Mendes
- 29Antonin Cartillier
- 10M. Saka
- 4M. Magnin
- 3R. Lipinski
- 24L. Quenabio
- 28S. Luyambula Biwa
- 17L. Vungele Vangi
- 1Q. Braat
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boulogne have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Rodez have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Le Havre(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dijon(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Boulogne win, 1 draw, 4 Rodez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Boulogne 1-2 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Rodez 1-0 Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 11, 2019 | Rodez 3-1 Boulogne | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 22, 2018 | Boulogne 0-3 Rodez | Ligue 3 |
| Mar 16, 2018 | Boulogne 2-0 Rodez | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 13, 2017 | Rodez 2-2 Boulogne | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Boulogne score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Rodez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boulogne sit 16th in Ligue 2 (6 points from 8 matches) and Rodez sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
A question about Boulogne vs Rodez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boulogne vs Rodez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rodez the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Boulogne.
- Where and when is Boulogne vs Rodez played?
- Boulogne vs Rodez is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Libération, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.