Metz vs Reims: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
The Footlab model makes Reims the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Metz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metz vs Reims?
Reims starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,942 vs 1,833).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metz have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Reims have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laval(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grenoble(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guingamp(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Metz win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Reims win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Reims 1-3 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2025 | Metz 1-1 Reims | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Reims 2-1 Metz | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Metz 2-2 Reims | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 20, 2022 | Reims 1-0 Metz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Reims 0-1 Metz | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Metz score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Reims score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Reims | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metz sit 5th in Ligue 2 (5 points from 3 matches) and Reims sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Metz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metz vs Reims?
- The Footlab model makes Reims the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Metz.
- Where and when is Metz vs Reims played?
- Metz vs Reims is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.