Sochaux vs Montpellier: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Auguste-Bonal, Montbéliard
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sochaux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sochaux vs Montpellier?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Sochaux (1,872) and Montpellier (1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sochaux vs Montpellier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sochaux
4-2-3-1- 9K. Djoco
- 21B. Diawara
- 7B. Gomel
- 77L. Nomel
- 24Y. Demoncy
- 23J. Masson
- 14M. Peybernes
- 26E. N'Gatta
- 3D. Gomis
- 4A. Vitelli
- 40M. Jeannin
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sochaux have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Montpellier have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PAU(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sochaux wins, 0 draws, 4 Montpellier wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | Sochaux 0-2 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2013 | Sochaux 3-2 Montpellier | Coupe de la Ligue |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Montpellier 2-1 Sochaux | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2013 | Montpellier 2-0 Sochaux | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 23, 2013 | Montpellier 2-3 Sochaux | Coupe de France |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Sochaux 1-3 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sochaux vs Montpellier on Jan 18, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Sochaux score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sochaux | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sochaux sit 9th in Ligue 2 (11 points from 8 matches) and Montpellier sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Sochaux vs Montpellier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sochaux vs Montpellier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sochaux.
- Where and when is Sochaux vs Montpellier played?
- Sochaux vs Montpellier is played on December 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Auguste-Bonal, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.