Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abbey Lawn, Bourne, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bromsgrove Sporting the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Bourne Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bromsgrove Sporting wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Bromsgrove Sporting starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bourne Town
Not enough data to predict the Bourne Town lineup.
Bromsgrove Sporting
Not enough data to predict the Bromsgrove Sporting lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bourne Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bromsgrove Sporting have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hanley Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Boldmere St. Michaels(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Boldmere St. Michaels(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 5-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Bourne Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourne Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bromsgrove Sporting the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Bourne Town.
- Where and when is Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting played?
- Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abbey Lawn, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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