Dover vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Burgess Hill Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dover wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,923 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Burgess Hill Town?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Dover (1,769) and Burgess Hill Town (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Burgess Hill Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Burgess Hill Town
Not enough data to predict the Burgess Hill Town lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 27, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Erith Town(away) | 3-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Dover win, 0 draws, 0 Burgess Hill Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover 1-0 Burgess Hill Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dover vs Burgess Hill Town on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Dover vs Burgess Hill Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Burgess Hill Town.
- Where and when is Dover vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Dover vs Burgess Hill Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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