Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maidstone Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maidstone Utd
Not enough data to predict the Maidstone Utd lineup.
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Maidenhead have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidstone Utd wins, 0 draws, 4 Maidenhead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidstone Utd 2-1 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Maidstone Utd 0-1 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone Utd | National League |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Maidstone Utd 3-2 Maidenhead | National League |
| Jan 15, 2019 | Maidstone Utd 2-4 Maidenhead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidstone Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidstone Utd | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Maidenhead | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead played?
- Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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