Match

Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats

FA TrophyRound of 128Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gallagher Stadium, Maidstone, Kent

Maidstone UtdMaidenhead

The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maidstone Utd wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,751).

52%25%23%
Maidstone Utd winDrawMaidenhead win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Maidstone Utd

Not enough data to predict the Maidstone Utd lineup.

Maidenhead

4-3-3
  1. AA. Pendlebury
  2. 27C. Hall
  3. 19D. Nkrumah
  1. 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
  2. 21J. Coley
  3. 36J. Johnson
  1. 22M. Welch-Hayes
  2. 19Owen Cochrane
  3. 28J. McMenemy
  4. AAlfie Calver
  1. 1J. van Stappershoef

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidstone Utd have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Maidenhead have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Slough Town(home)2-1National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Ebbsfleet United(home)1-3National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Torquay(away)1-1National League - South
Oct 17, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-1National League - South
Oct 10, 2026Horsham(away)2-1National League - South
Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-0National League - South
Oct 27, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Oct 24, 2026Ebbsfleet United(away)0-4National League - South
Oct 17, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-2National League - South
Oct 10, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maidstone Utd wins, 0 draws, 4 Maidenhead wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Maidstone Utd 2-1 MaidenheadNational League - South
Mar 7, 2026Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Sep 20, 2025Maidstone Utd 0-1 MaidenheadNational League - South
Mar 18, 2023Maidenhead 2-1 Maidstone UtdNational League
Nov 26, 2022Maidstone Utd 3-2 MaidenheadNational League
Jan 15, 2019Maidstone Utd 2-4 MaidenheadNational League

Last archived meeting: Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidstone Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidstone Utd1.51.3212/159/15
Maidenhead1.01.356/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead?
The Footlab AI model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead played?
Maidstone Utd vs Maidenhead is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gallagher Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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