Bradford vs Aston Villa: result 3-1 and analysis
League CupSemi-finalsKick-off on January 8, 2013 at 07:45 PM (UTC)University of Bradford Stadium, Bradford, West Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of Bradford vs Aston Villa?
Bradford won 3-1 on January 8, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 19′N. WellsBradford
- 77′R. McArdleBradford
- 83′A. WeimannAston Villa
- 88′C. McHughBradford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bradford have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Aston Villa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2013 | Barnet(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Morecambe(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Rochdale(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Dec 18, 2012 | Brentford(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Southend(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2013 | Swansea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Wigan(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2012 | Tottenham(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2012 | Chelsea(away) | 0-8 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bradford score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa score 1.3 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Aston Villa | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy