Aston Villa vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aston Villa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Aston Villa (2,291) and Fulham (2,193).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aston Villa vs Fulham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1- 11N. Jackson
- 8B. Kamara
- 10E. Buendía
- 7J. McGinn
- 53George Hemmings
- 35João Gomes
- 5T. Mings
- 3V. Lindelöf
- 29A. Wan-Bissaka
- 13M. Ruggeri
- 1Z. Suzuki
Fulham
4-2-3-1- 7Gonzalo García
- 14Oscar Bobb
- 17A. Iwobi
- 24Joshua King
- 19S. Charles
- 16S. Berge
- 21T. Castagne
- 33A. Robinson
- 3C. Bassey
- 22D. Affengruber
- 1B. Leno
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aston Villa wins, 0 draws, 1 Fulham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Fulham 1-3 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Fulham 1-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Fulham vs Aston Villa on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Fulham | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 16th in Premier League (4 points from 5 matches) and Fulham sit 19th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
A question about Aston Villa vs Fulham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aston Villa vs Fulham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Aston Villa vs Fulham played?
- Aston Villa vs Fulham is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Villa Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.