Bradford vs Rotherham: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)University of Bradford Stadium, Bradford, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bradford vs Rotherham?
Bradford starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bradford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rotherham have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bradford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Rotherham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Bradford 1-0 Rotherham | League One |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Rotherham 2-2 Bradford | League One |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Rotherham 0-1 Bradford | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Bradford 0-1 Rotherham | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Rotherham 2-0 Bradford | League One |
| Nov 7, 2017 | Bradford 0-3 Rotherham | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Bradford vs Rotherham on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bradford sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Rotherham sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rotherham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bradford vs Rotherham?
- The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Bradford vs Rotherham played?
- Bradford vs Rotherham is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at University of Bradford Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.