Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cressing Road Stadium, Braintree, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Braintree. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers?
Dorking Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Braintree have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Braintree win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Braintree | National League - South |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Braintree 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Braintree 0-4 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Aug 26, 2019 | Braintree 3-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Braintree on Jan 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Braintree sit 20th in National League - South (3 points from 3 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Braintree vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cressing Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027TorquayvsBillericay Town
- Jan 16, 2027MaidenheadvsChesham United
- Jan 16, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Jan 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnham Town
- Jan 16, 2027Truro CityvsMaidstone Utd
- Jan 16, 2027AFC TottonvsDover
- Jan 16, 2027FarnboroughvsWalton & Hersham