Maidenhead vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maidenhead wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,546 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,852) and Chesham United (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maidenhead vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Chesham United have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ware(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Maidenhead win, 1 draw, 1 Chesham United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesham United 0-4 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Chesham United 1-1 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Maidenhead 1-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Maidenhead on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 16th in National League - South (13 points from 11 matches) and Chesham United sit 19th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Maidenhead vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Chesham United played?
- Maidenhead vs Chesham United is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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