Where and when is Maidenhead vs Chesham United played?

Maidenhead vs Chesham United is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maidenhead vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

Maidenhead

Chesham United

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,811) and Chesham United (1,788).

Maidenhead win51 %

Draw25 %

Chesham United win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Farnborough(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Hemel Hempstead Town(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Dorking Wanderers(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Truro City(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	Brackley Town(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Walton & Hersham(home)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 19, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Braintree(away)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(away)	0-3	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chesham United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Chesham United 1-1 Maidenhead	National League - South
Aug 9, 2025	Maidenhead 1-2 Chesham United	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Maidenhead on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maidenhead	0.9	1.2	4	7/15	4/15
Chesham United	1.8	1.8	3	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Maidenhead	4	1	2	1	2	3	5
18	Chesham United	4	1	0	3	4	7	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Chesham United?: The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Chesham United.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Chesham United played?: Maidenhead vs Chesham United is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.