Match

Truro City vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro CityMaidstone Utd

The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Maidstone Utd?

Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,752).

Truro City win29 %
Draw25 %
Maidstone Utd win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Maidstone Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Farnborough(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Chatham Town(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Truro City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maidstone Utd win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 14, 2024Truro City 0-2 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Aug 17, 2024Maidstone Utd 1-2 Truro CityNational League - South
Apr 13, 2024Truro City 3-1 Maidstone UtdNational League - South
Dec 5, 2023Maidstone Utd 2-1 Truro CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Maidstone Utd on Dec 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Truro City1.00.674/153/15
Maidstone Utd2.41.269/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
5Maidstone Utd4211857

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Maidstone Utd?
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Truro City.
Where and when is Truro City vs Maidstone Utd played?
Truro City vs Maidstone Utd is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Truro City and Maidstone Utd

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