Truro City vs Maidstone Utd: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall
The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Truro City vs Maidstone Utd?
Maidstone Utd starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Maidstone Utd have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Truro City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Maidstone Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Truro City 0-2 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Maidstone Utd 1-2 Truro City | National League - South |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Truro City 3-1 Maidstone Utd | National League - South |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Maidstone Utd 2-1 Truro City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Truro City vs Maidstone Utd on Dec 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Maidstone Utd score 2.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Maidstone Utd | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Maidstone Utd sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Maidstone Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Maidstone Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Maidstone Utd the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Truro City.
- Where and when is Truro City vs Maidstone Utd played?
- Truro City vs Maidstone Utd is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027TorquayvsBillericay Town
- Jan 16, 2027BraintreevsDorking Wanderers
- Jan 16, 2027MaidenheadvsChesham United
- Jan 16, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Jan 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnham Town
- Jan 16, 2027AFC TottonvsDover
- Jan 16, 2027FarnboroughvsWalton & Hersham