Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet UnitedTonbridge Angels

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,817) and Tonbridge Angels (1,775).

Ebbsfleet United win50 %
Draw25 %
Tonbridge Angels win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South
Tonbridge Angels
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Truro City(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dover(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Torquay(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Braintree(away)4-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Dec 26, 2025Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Jul 23, 2024Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Ebbsfleet UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2023Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Mar 11, 2023Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Nov 12, 2022Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15
Tonbridge Angels1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Tonbridge Angels4202646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels played?
Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ebbsfleet United and Tonbridge Angels

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