Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 27Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,132 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,966) and Tonbridge Angels (1,907).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Tonbridge Angels
Not enough data to predict the Tonbridge Angels lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 6-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ebbsfleet United wins, 1 draw, 0 Tonbridge Angels wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Ebbsfleet United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Ebbsfleet United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd in National League - South (22 points from 10 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 6th (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Tonbridge Angels | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 20 |
A question about Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Tonbridge Angels is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 16, 2027BraintreevsDorking Wanderers
- Jan 16, 2027MaidenheadvsChesham United
- Jan 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Jan 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnham Town
- Jan 16, 2027Truro CityvsMaidstone Utd
- Jan 16, 2027AFC TottonvsDover
- Jan 16, 2027FarnboroughvsWalton & Hersham