Brann II vs Varegg: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Varden Amfi, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Brann II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Varegg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann II vs Varegg?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Brann II (1,630) and Varegg (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Varegg have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Os(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Førde(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Stord(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Gneist(away) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Fana(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sogndal II(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Askøy(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fyllingsdalen(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Fana(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Os(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Brann II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Varegg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Varegg 1-3 Brann II | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann II score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varegg score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann II | 2.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Varegg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brann II sit 7th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (25 points from 16 matches) and Varegg sit 13th (12 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 32 | 25 |
| 13 | Varegg | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 34 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann II vs Varegg?
- The Footlab model makes Brann II the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Varegg.
- Where and when is Brann II vs Varegg played?
- Brann II vs Varegg is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Varden Amfi, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.