Brann vs Aarhus: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Brann Stadion, Bergen
The Footlab AI model makes Brann the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Aarhus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brann wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann vs Aarhus?
On Elo ratings, Brann has 2,025 points and Aarhus 1,996.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brann vs Aarhus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brann
4-3-3- 29N. Holm
- 22S. Magnússon
- 15J. Torsvik
- 18J. Sørensen
- 16K. Eriksen
- 19E. Guðmundsson
- 3F. Knudsen
- 23T. Pedersen
- 20V. Dragsnes
- 21N. Kasanwirjo
- 12S. Nilsen
Aarhus
3-4-2-1- 13J. Serra
- 31T. Bech
- 23M. Anderson
- 4M. Knudsen
- 29R. Carstensen
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
- 39Frederik Emmery
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 14T. Mølgaard
- 25C. Rösler
- 1J. Hansen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aarhus have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viking(home) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Start(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Os(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Start(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sonderjyske(home) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Horsens(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aarhus score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Aarhus | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Brann vs Aarhus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann vs Aarhus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brann the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Aarhus.
- Where and when is Brann vs Aarhus played?
- Brann vs Aarhus is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Brann Stadion, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.