Saburtalo vs Getafe: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi
The Footlab AI model makes Getafe the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Saburtalo. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Getafe?
Getafe starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,975 vs 1,742).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saburtalo vs Getafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saburtalo
4-3-3- 9A. Dzagania
- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 17S. Ende
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 8B. Kardava
- 18Lucas Brune
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 25A. Amisulashvili
- 4V. Selimović
- 3P. Cancar
- 31G. Makaridze
Getafe
5-4-1- 20Iván Azón
- 11Ramón Terrats
- 16Francho Serrano
- 21Andrés García
- 6Mario Martín
- 2D. Dakonam
- 24Z. Romero
- 22J. Mojica
- 8N. Gudelj
- 17Kiko Femenía
- 13David Soria
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saburtalo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Getafe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Meshakhte(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Rustavi(away) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dila(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Saburtalo score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saburtalo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Getafe | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Saburtalo vs Getafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Getafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Getafe the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Saburtalo.
- Where and when is Saburtalo vs Getafe played?
- Saburtalo vs Getafe is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.