Pafos vs FC Midtjylland: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, Paphos
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FC Midtjylland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pafos wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pafos vs FC Midtjylland?
On Elo ratings, Pafos has 2,014 points and FC Midtjylland 2,141.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pafos vs FC Midtjylland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pafos
4-3-3- 77João Correia
- 20Biel
- 18Lelê
- 30V. Dragomir
- 6Guga
- 26I. Šunjić
- 7Bruno Felipe
- 14N. Ioannou
- 4David Luiz
- 3S. Mmaee
- 99R. Majecki
FC Midtjylland
3-1-4-2- 90F. Etim
- 9M. Rajović
- 19P. Bravo
- 29K. Wätjen
- 8P. Billing
- 55V. Bak Jensen
- 27S. Johannesen
- 22M. Bech
- 4O. Diao
- 5R. Kristensen
- 25N. Bakker
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pafos have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; FC Midtjylland have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 3-2 | Superliga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Odense(home) | 2-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lyngby(home) | 3-2 | Superliga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Viborg(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Midtjylland score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Midtjylland | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pafos sit 27th in UEFA Europa Conference League (1 point from 2 matches) and FC Midtjylland sit 25th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
A question about Pafos vs FC Midtjylland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pafos vs FC Midtjylland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FC Midtjylland.
- Where and when is Pafos vs FC Midtjylland played?
- Pafos vs FC Midtjylland is played on November 26, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.