Brann vs Bodo/Glimt: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Brann Stadion, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Brann. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
Bodo/Glimt starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (2,277 vs 2,050).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bodo/Glimt have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brann win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Bodo/Glimt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
| May 9, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Brann | NM Cupen |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Brann 1-2 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Brann 4-1 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Bodo/Glimt 5-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bodo/Glimt score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Bodo/Glimt | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brann sit 6th in Eliteserien (25 points from 17 matches) and Bodo/Glimt sit 1st (41 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann vs Bodo/Glimt?
- The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Brann.
- Where and when is Brann vs Bodo/Glimt played?
- Brann vs Bodo/Glimt is played on September 20, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC) at Brann Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.