Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
The Footlab model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for KFUM Oslo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Sarpsborg 08 FF (1,966) and KFUM Oslo (1,922).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarpsborg 08 FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; KFUM Oslo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Sarpsborg(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Molde(away) | 3-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sarpsborg 08 FF win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 KFUM Oslo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | KFUM Oslo 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| Apr 21, 2025 | KFUM Oslo 1-3 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Feb 23, 2025 | KFUM Oslo 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 3, 2024 | KFUM Oslo 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 0-2 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; KFUM Oslo score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| KFUM Oslo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th in Eliteserien (22 points from 17 matches) and KFUM Oslo sit 12th (19 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo?
- The Footlab model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for KFUM Oslo.
- Where and when is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo played?
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs KFUM Oslo is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.