Brechin vs Ayr Utd: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 5, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Carnegie Fuels Stadium at Glebe Park, Brechin
Full time
What was the result of Brechin vs Ayr Utd?
Brechin won 1-0 on March 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 74′R. ThomsonBrechin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brechin have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Ayr Utd have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Peterhead(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Feb 23, 2016 | Albion Rovers(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Feb 20, 2016 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Feb 13, 2016 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Peterhead(home) | 1-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Brechin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ayr Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Brechin | League One |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Brechin 1-1 Ayr Utd | League One |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Ayr Utd 2-1 Brechin | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Brechin score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brechin | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy