Bregalnica Štip vs Skopje: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Štip
The Footlab model makes Bregalnica Štip the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Skopje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bregalnica Štip vs Skopje?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Bregalnica Štip (1,574) and Skopje (1,488).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bregalnica Štip have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Skopje have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 7-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| May 31, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bregalnica Štip win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Skopje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Skopje 0-1 Bregalnica Štip | Second League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Bregalnica Štip 2-0 Skopje | Second League |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Bregalnica Štip 1-1 Skopje | Second League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Skopje 0-0 Bregalnica Štip | Second League |
| May 14, 2023 | Skopje 1-2 Bregalnica Štip | First League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Bregalnica Štip 0-0 Skopje | First League |
Last archived meeting: Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bregalnica Štip score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Skopje score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bregalnica Štip | 2.6 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Skopje | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bregalnica Štip sit 5th in First League (6 points from 4 matches) and Skopje sit 9th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bregalnica Štip | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Skopje | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bregalnica Štip vs Skopje?
- The Footlab model makes Bregalnica Štip the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Skopje.
- Where and when is Bregalnica Štip vs Skopje played?
- Bregalnica Štip vs Skopje is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.