Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
Shkendija is a heavy favourite: 1,826 Elo points against 1,469, a 357-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkendija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Bashkimi Kumanovo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 0-5 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Shkendija win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bashkimi Kumanovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Shkendija 2-3 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 1-3 Shkendija | First League |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Shkendija 5-1 Bashkimi Kumanovo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Shkendija 2-1 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
Last archived meeting: Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shkendija score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bashkimi Kumanovo score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shkendija sit 1st in First League (12 points from 4 matches) and Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?
- The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 87%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Where and when is Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo played?
- Shkendija vs Bashkimi Kumanovo is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ecolog Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.