Struga vs Aresimi: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradska Plaža Stadium, Struga
The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Aresimi. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Struga vs Aresimi?
Struga starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Struga have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aresimi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Struga win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Aresimi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi 1-0 Struga | First League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Struga 4-0 Aresimi | First League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Aresimi 1-2 Struga | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Struga score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aresimi score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Struga | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Aresimi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Struga sit 4th in First League (7 points from 3 matches) and Aresimi sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Struga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Aresimi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Struga vs Aresimi?
- The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Aresimi.
- Where and when is Struga vs Aresimi played?
- Struga vs Aresimi is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradska Plaža Stadium, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.