Lewes vs Welling United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Dripping Pan, Lewes, East Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Welling United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Welling United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lewes vs Welling United?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Lewes (1,796) and Welling United (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lewes vs Welling United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lewes
Not enough data to predict the Lewes lineup.
Welling United
Not enough data to predict the Welling United lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lewes have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Welling United have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Burgess Hill Town(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lewes wins, 0 draws, 0 Welling United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Lewes 1-0 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Welling United 0-1 Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Lewes vs Welling United on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lewes score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Welling United score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewes | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Welling United | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lewes sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (26 points from 13 matches) and Welling United sit 2nd (27 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Welling United | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 26 |
A question about Lewes vs Welling United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lewes vs Welling United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welling United the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Lewes vs Welling United played?
- Lewes vs Welling United is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Dripping Pan, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 28, 2026DartfordvsDulwich Hamlet
- Dec 28, 2026LeatherheadvsCarshalton Athletic
- Dec 28, 2026WhitehawkvsEastbourne Borough
- Dec 28, 2026Brentwood TownvsAveley
- Dec 28, 2026RamsgatevsChatham Town
- Dec 28, 2026Three BridgesvsBurgess Hill Town
- Dec 28, 2026CheshuntvsEnfield Town
- Dec 28, 2026Cray WanderersvsWhyteleafe