Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Fetcham Grove, Leatherhead, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leatherhead wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic?
Leatherhead starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leatherhead
Not enough data to predict the Leatherhead lineup.
Carshalton Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Carshalton Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leatherhead have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 10, 2026 | St Albans City(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ramsgate(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Southall(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Leatherhead wins, 1 draw, 2 Carshalton Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | Carshalton Athletic 3-3 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 30, 2021 | Leatherhead 0-3 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jan 1, 2020 | Leatherhead 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 26, 2019 | Carshalton Athletic 1-0 Leatherhead | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Leatherhead 2-1 Carshalton Athletic | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carshalton Athletic vs Leatherhead on Nov 27, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Leatherhead score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leatherhead | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leatherhead sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (15 points from 11 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 5th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Carshalton Athletic | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 21 |
| 12 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 15 |
A question about Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Leatherhead vs Carshalton Athletic is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Fetcham Grove, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.