Whitehawk vs Eastbourne Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Eastbourne Borough the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitehawk vs Eastbourne Borough?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Whitehawk (1,661) and Eastbourne Borough (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Eastbourne Borough have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Whitehawk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Eastbourne Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2024 | Eastbourne Borough 5-2 Whitehawk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Eastbourne Borough vs Whitehawk on Jul 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Eastbourne Borough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Eastbourne Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Eastbourne Borough the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Whitehawk vs Eastbourne Borough played?
- Whitehawk vs Eastbourne Borough is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.