Brežice vs Ilirija: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Brežice, Brežice
The Footlab model makes Brežice the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brežice vs Ilirija?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Brežice (1,507) and Ilirija (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brežice have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ilirija have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Zavrč(home) | 6-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Rače(away) | 1-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 9, 2026 | Podvinci(home) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Brežice win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ilirija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | Brežice 2-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Ilirija 2-2 Brežice | 2. SNL |
| May 4, 2019 | Brežice 3-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Ilirija 1-1 Brežice | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Brežice score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brežice | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brežice sit 15th in 2. SNL (0 points from 2 matches) and Ilirija sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Brežice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brežice vs Ilirija?
- The Footlab model makes Brežice the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Ilirija.
- Where and when is Brežice vs Ilirija played?
- Brežice vs Ilirija is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Brežice, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.