Brighton vs Derby: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 10, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Derby?
Derby won 1-2 on August 10, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 17′L. UlloaBrighton
- 26′C. MartinDerby
- 47′C. MartinDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2013 | Newport County(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2013 | Leeds(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| May 13, 2013 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| May 10, 2013 | Crystal Palace(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| May 4, 2013 | Wolves(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2013 | Oldham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2013 | Blackburn(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| May 4, 2013 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2013 | Blackpool(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Peterborough(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Brighton win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2013 | Brighton 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Derby 0-0 Brighton | Championship |
| Mar 20, 2012 | Brighton 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Derby 0-1 Brighton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy