Brighton vs Newcastle: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 28, 2012 at 05:15 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Full time
What was the result of Brighton vs Newcastle?
Brighton won 1-0 on January 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 76′Mike WilliamsonBrighton (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Newcastle have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | Peterborough(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2012 | Wrexham(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Bristol City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2012 | Southampton(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 31, 2011 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | Fulham(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2012 | QPR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2012 | Manchester United(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2011 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2011 | Bolton(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.6 | 1.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy