Brindisi vs Nardò: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Franco Fanuzzi, Brindisi
The Footlab AI model makes Brindisi the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Nardò. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brindisi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brindisi vs Nardò?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Brindisi (1,642) and Nardò (1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brindisi vs Nardò
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brindisi
4-3-3- 44Mattia Pagliuca
- 29M. Trotta
- 7D. Vantaggiato
- 10D. Petrucci
- 36Carlo Martorelli
- 73N. Bagatti
- 17G. Pinto
- 33L. Falbo
- 3N. Monti
- 27M. Calderoni
- 22I. Saio
Nardò
Not enough data to predict the Nardò lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brindisi have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Nardò have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | USD Palmese(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Melfi(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brindisi wins, 2 draws, 0 Nardò wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Brindisi 3-2 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Nardò 0-0 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Nardò 0-2 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Brindisi 3-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Nardò 2-4 Brindisi | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Brindisi 1-1 Nardò | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Brindisi score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nardò score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brindisi | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Nardò | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brindisi sit 7th in Serie D - Girone H (12 points from 7 matches) and Nardò sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brindisi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 15 | Nardò | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Brindisi vs Nardò?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brindisi vs Nardò?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brindisi the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Nardò.
- Where and when is Brindisi vs Nardò played?
- Brindisi vs Nardò is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Franco Fanuzzi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.