Melfi vs Bisceglie: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab AI model makes Bisceglie the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Melfi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bisceglie wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs Bisceglie?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Melfi (1,589) and Bisceglie (1,658).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melfi vs Bisceglie
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Bisceglie
4-3-3- 11D. Rocco
- 28M. Pedrini
- 24F. Sartore
- 23Giuseppe Maimone
- 14Yannick Daniel Jacques Makota Ngalle
- 8A. Cittadino
- 3M. Giron
- 25Salvatore Tazza
- 6E. Vona
- 4Mario De Marino
- 22A. Spurio
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bisceglie have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bisceglie score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Bisceglie | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melfi sit 15th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 6 matches) and Bisceglie sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Melfi vs Bisceglie?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Bisceglie?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bisceglie the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Melfi vs Bisceglie played?
- Melfi vs Bisceglie is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.