Cardiff vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,024 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff vs Swansea?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Cardiff (2,012) and Swansea (2,040).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cardiff vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 8J. Moylan
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 16C. Willock
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 38P. Ng
- 5K. Bielik
- 1N. Trott
Swansea
4-3-3- 49M. Yeo
- 30Joseph Okopu
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 08:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Swansea have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cardiff wins, 1 draw, 3 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Cardiff 3-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Swansea 1-1 Cardiff | Championship |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Swansea 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Cardiff 2-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Cardiff 2-3 Swansea | Championship |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Swansea 2-0 Cardiff | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Swansea | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff sit 19th in Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Swansea sit 1st (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Cardiff vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Cardiff vs Swansea played?
- Cardiff vs Swansea is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cardiff City Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.