Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Penybont. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colwyn Bay wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Colwyn Bay (1,972) and Penybont (1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colwyn Bay
4-3-3- 11J. Davies
- 9A. Davies
- 7J. Kenny
- 22D. Poole
- 8C. Bratley
- 16J. Williams
- 6S. Forde
- 4N. Peate
- 5L. Sirrell
- 3S. Hart
- 1M. Halstead
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Penybont have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colwyn Bay wins, 2 draws, 2 Penybont wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penybont 1-0 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 0-0 Penybont | Premier League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Penybont 0-0 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 3-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Colwyn Bay 5-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Penybont 1-0 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Colwyn Bay on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penybont score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Penybont | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 5th in Premier League (25 points from 13 matches) and Penybont sit 3rd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
A question about Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Penybont.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Penybont played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Penybont is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.