Bromley vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 8Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RELOC8 EM Community Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Bromley the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bromley vs Crawley Town?
Bromley starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bromley have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Crawley Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Bromley win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Crawley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-3 Bromley | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Bromley 3-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bromley 1-2 Crawley Town | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Bromley on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bromley score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bromley sit 3rd in EFL Trophy (2 points from 3 matches) and Crawley Town sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bromley vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bromley the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Bromley vs Crawley Town played?
- Bromley vs Crawley Town is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RELOC8 EM Community Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.