Where and when is Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos played?

Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, in the Primera B Metropolitana.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 41Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Almirante Brown, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Brown DE Adrogue

Defensores Unidos

The Footlab model makes Brown DE Adrogue the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Defensores Unidos. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Brown DE Adrogue (1,620) and Defensores Unidos (1,567).

Brown DE Adrogue win37 %

Draw33 %

Defensores Unidos win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brown DE Adrogue have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Defensores Unidos have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brown DE Adrogue
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Real Pilar(away)	0-2	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 21, 2026	UAI Urquiza(home)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026	Villa Dalmine(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Excursionistas(home)	1-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026	Arsenal Sarandi(away)	1-1	Primera B Metropolitana

Defensores Unidos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Sportivo Italiano(away)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 22, 2026	San Martín Burzaco(home)	2-0	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 16, 2026	Villa San Carlos(away)	0-1	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026	Liniers(home)	2-3	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 1, 2026	Real Pilar(away)	1-2	Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Brown DE Adrogue win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Defensores Unidos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 13, 2026	Defensores Unidos 1-1 Brown DE Adrogue	Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 24, 2024	Brown DE Adrogue 2-1 Defensores Unidos	Primera Nacional
Apr 6, 2024	Defensores Unidos 1-1 Brown DE Adrogue	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Defensores Unidos vs Brown DE Adrogue on Jun 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brown DE Adrogue score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Defensores Unidos score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Brown DE Adrogue	0.7	0.9	6	5/15	2/15
Defensores Unidos	0.8	1.3	4	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th in Primera B Metropolitana (19 points from 20 matches) and Defensores Unidos sit 17th (23 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Defensores Unidos	20	5	8	7	18	21	23
17	Defensores Unidos	32	7	11	14	28	36	32
20	Brown DE Adrogue	20	4	7	9	12	23	19
20	Brown DE Adrogue	32	7	11	14	20	34	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos?: The Footlab model makes Brown DE Adrogue the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Defensores Unidos.
Where and when is Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos played?: Brown DE Adrogue vs Defensores Unidos is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.