BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Čaire, Banja Luka
The Footlab model makes BSK Banja Luka the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Čelik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate BSK Banja Luka (1,437) and Čelik (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSK Banja Luka have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Čelik have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Velež(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška(away) | 1-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 24, 2026 | Leotar(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Jun 6, 2026 | GOŠK Gabela(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 31, 2026 | Igman Konjic(home) | 4-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
How many goals should we expect?
BSK Banja Luka score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Čelik score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSK Banja Luka | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Čelik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSK Banja Luka sit 5th in Premijer Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Čelik sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BSK Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Čelik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik?
- The Footlab model makes BSK Banja Luka the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Čelik.
- Where and when is BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik played?
- BSK Banja Luka vs Čelik is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Čaire, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.