FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, Sarajevo
The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for FK Sarajevo. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?
Borac Banja Luka starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,892 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Sarajevo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Borac Banja Luka have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 25, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velež(home) | 3-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FK Sarajevo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Borac Banja Luka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FK Sarajevo 0-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka 2-0 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 1-0 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 5-1 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 2-0 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 0-2 FK Sarajevo | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Sarajevo score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Borac Banja Luka score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Sarajevo sit 4th in Premijer Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Borac Banja Luka sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 39%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for FK Sarajevo.
- Where and when is FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka played?
- FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.