Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bijeli Brijeg, Mostar
The Footlab model makes Zrinjski the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Siroki Brijeg. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg?
Zrinjski starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zrinjski have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Siroki Brijeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(away) | 5-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Čelik(away) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tomislav(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 4-0 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zrinjski win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Siroki Brijeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg 2-1 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Zrinjski 1-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 1-2 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Zrinjski 0-0 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Zrinjski 2-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 1-1 Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Siroki Brijeg vs Zrinjski on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zrinjski score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Siroki Brijeg score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zrinjski | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Siroki Brijeg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zrinjski sit 1st in Premijer Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Siroki Brijeg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg?
- The Footlab model makes Zrinjski the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Siroki Brijeg.
- Where and when is Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg played?
- Zrinjski vs Siroki Brijeg is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bijeli Brijeg, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.