Match

Bucaspor 1928 vs Bigaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir

Bucaspor 1928Bigaspor

The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Bigaspor?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Bucaspor 1928 (1,540) and Bigaspor (1,547).

Bucaspor 1928 win42 %
Draw28 %
Bigaspor win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Bigaspor have 2, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaspor 1928
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 24, 2026Karacabey Belediyespor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Batman Petrolspor(home)3-32. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Altınordu(away)0-22. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 3, 2026Ankaragücü(away)0-12. Lig
Bigaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Etimesgut SK(away)0-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023Karsiyaka(away)1-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Sökespor(away)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022Menemen FK(away)2-3Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bucaspor 19280.92.119/157/15
Bigaspor0.71.153/93/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Bigaspor?
The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Bigaspor played?
Bucaspor 1928 vs Bigaspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bucaspor 1928 and Bigaspor

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