Match

Akşehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Akşehir Nasreddin Hoca Stadı, Akşehir

AkşehirsporAyvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Akşehirspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ayvalikgucu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Akşehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,559).

Akşehirspor win41 %
Draw28 %
Ayvalikgucu win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Akşehirspor have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Akşehirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 28, 2019Somaspor(away)1-1Türkiye Kupası
Ayvalikgucu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-23. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026Karsiyaka(away)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Akşehirspor score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Akşehirspor1.01.001/10/1
Ayvalikgucu1.40.865/155/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Akşehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu?
The Footlab model makes Akşehirspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ayvalikgucu.
Where and when is Akşehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu played?
Akşehirspor vs Ayvalikgucu is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Akşehir Nasreddin Hoca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Akşehirspor and Ayvalikgucu

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