Nilüfer Belediye vs Bucaspor 1928: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Nilüfer Belediye the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nilüfer Belediye vs Bucaspor 1928?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Nilüfer Belediye (1,546) and Bucaspor 1928 (1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nilüfer Belediye have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bucaspor 1928 have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Silivrispor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kartal Bulvarspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilüfer Belediye | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bucaspor 1928 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nilüfer Belediye vs Bucaspor 1928?
- The Footlab model makes Nilüfer Belediye the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Bucaspor 1928.
- Where and when is Nilüfer Belediye vs Bucaspor 1928 played?
- Nilüfer Belediye vs Bucaspor 1928 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.