Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor played?

Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 24Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir

Bucaspor 1928

Kepezspor

The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Bucaspor 1928 (1,540) and Kepezspor (1,535).

Bucaspor 1928 win44 %

Draw27 %

Kepezspor win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Kepezspor have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaspor 1928
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	3-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Altınordu(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 3, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	0-1	2. Lig

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bucaspor 1928 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kepezspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Bucaspor 1928 0-1 Kepezspor	2. Lig
Oct 12, 2025	Kepezspor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bucaspor 1928	0.9	2.1	1	9/15	7/15
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor?: The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor played?: Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.