Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu played?

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 24Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

Karsiyaka

Ayvalikgucu

The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ayvalikgucu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Karsiyaka (1,715) and Ayvalikgucu (1,709).

Karsiyaka win44 %

Draw29 %

Ayvalikgucu win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karsiyaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Tire 2021 FK(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Söke 1970(home)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Bornova 1877(away)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Karsiyaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka 0-2 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka	3. Lig - Play-offs
Mar 14, 2026	Karsiyaka 2-0 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 4
Nov 9, 2025	Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka	3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu on Apr 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Karsiyaka	2.7	0.7	7	7/15	9/15
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?: The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ayvalikgucu.
Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu played?: Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.