Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 24Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab AI model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ayvalikgucu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karsiyaka wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,709 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Karsiyaka (1,739) and Ayvalikgucu (1,716).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karsiyaka
Not enough data to predict the Karsiyaka lineup.
Ayvalikgucu
Not enough data to predict the Ayvalikgucu lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 6-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 3-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Karsiyaka win, 3 draws, 1 Ayvalikgucu win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karsiyaka 0-2 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Karsiyaka 2-0 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karsiyaka score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karsiyaka sit 9th in 3. Lig - Group 2 (12 points from 8 matches) and Ayvalikgucu sit 7th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ayvalikgucu | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 9 | Karsiyaka | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ayvalikgucu.
- Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu played?
- Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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