Where and when is Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928 played?

Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928 is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, Antalya

Kepezspor

Bucaspor 1928

The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Kepezspor (1,535) and Bucaspor 1928 (1,540).

Kepezspor win39 %

Draw27 %

Bucaspor 1928 win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kepezspor have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Bucaspor 1928 have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kepezspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(away)	0-6	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Altınordu(home)	2-4	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	0-1	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	2-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	1-3	2. Lig

Bucaspor 1928
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	3-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Altınordu(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 3, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	0-1	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kepezspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bucaspor 1928 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Bucaspor 1928 0-1 Kepezspor	2. Lig
Oct 12, 2025	Kepezspor 1-0 Bucaspor 1928	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Bucaspor 1928 vs Kepezspor on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kepezspor	1.0	2.1	3	10/15	9/15
Bucaspor 1928	0.9	2.1	1	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928?: The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Bucaspor 1928.
Where and when is Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928 played?: Kepezspor vs Bucaspor 1928 is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.